What January’s numbers, inventory levels, and interest rates mean for buyers and sellers.

As we move further into early 2026, the Victoria real estate market continues to settle into a more balanced and predictable rhythm after several years of uncertainty. With January sales now reported and interest rates holding steady, we’re seeing conditions that feel calmer, more intentional, and easier to navigate for both buyers and sellers.

The Economic Backdrop

On January 18, the Bank of Canada announced it would hold its overnight rate steady. This reflects an economy that is gradually cooling without showing signs of major stress. Inflation has continued to ease, employment remains relatively strong, and recent GDP numbers have been inconsistent month to month.

Most major banks expect the overnight rate to remain near 2.25% through much of 2026. While rates are lower than they were a year ago, the bigger shift is stability. That predictability is helping buyers plan more confidently and giving sellers greater clarity around demand.

Greater Victoria Market – January 2026

According to the Victoria Real Estate Board, 339 properties sold across the region in January. This was down from January 2025 and slightly below December, following typical seasonal patterns.

Condominium sales declined year over year, with 109 units sold.
Single family home sales also dipped compared to last January, with 153 homes sold.

Inventory remains the standout story. At the end of January, there were 2,624 active listings on the MLS®, up from both December and the same time last year. This increase in supply is easing upward pressure on pricing and giving buyers more choice than they’ve had in several years.

Board Chair Fergus Kyne noted that the market is currently sitting between balanced and buyer-leaning conditions. While one month doesn’t establish a long-term trend, January offered more selection for buyers and clearer expectations for sellers.

Pricing Trends in Victoria

Benchmark prices continue to adjust modestly. The MLS® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core was down approximately 2.5% compared to January last year, though prices did rise slightly from December. 

Condominium benchmark values were down about 1.5% year over year and softened from December levels.

Overall, this reflects a market that is adjusting rather than correcting, with values supported by long-term demand and improved affordability compared to recent years.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, today’s market offers more choice, less competition, and stable borrowing conditions — creating space to make thoughtful decisions instead of rushed ones. Local mortgage professional Paul Macara of Macara Mortgages notes that uncertainty doesn’t automatically mean risk. When confidence is lower, buyers often gain more time to negotiate and focus on fit: the right home, the right payment, and the right mortgage structure.

“When the headlines feel noisy, the goal is simple: make sure your mortgage plan still fits your life.”
— Paul Macara, Mortgage Professional, The Mortgage Group

If you’d like an introduction to the team at The Mortgage Group, I’m always happy to connect you so you can explore your options with clarity and confidence.

For sellers, this is a market that rewards preparation, strong presentation, and realistic pricing. Buyers are moving more intentionally, and understanding how your specific neighbourhood is performing matters more than ever.

Whether you’re buying, selling, or reviewing your mortgage options, this market is less about reacting to headlines and more about making decisions that align with your longer-term plans. 

Looking Ahead to 2026

As the year continues, earlier interest rate cuts are beginning to bring some buyers back into the market, particularly those who paused during periods of uncertainty. At the same time, higher inventory levels and affordability considerations are keeping price growth in check.

Most experts are forecasting steady, measured improvement rather than a rapid rebound — a healthier pace for long-term market stability.

Whether you’re planning to buy or sell in 2026, I’d love to walk you through what this market means for your specific plans. Reach out to me at anytime 250-415-5656.

Jacqueline Ross
REALTOR® | Coldwell Banker Oceanside Real Estate
📞 (250) 415-5656
✉️ jac@yourvanislehome.com
🌐 www.YourVanIsleHome.com
Instagram | Facebook
Get the newsletter!

Helping you find home — and community — here in Victoria, BC.

As we move along in December, the Victoria real estate market shows a clear shift in pace. Sales slowed in November, inventory remained healthy, and the overall tone of the market leaned toward patience — offering more breathing room for buyers and a steady, balanced environment for sellers.

Here’s what you need to know.

Home Sales Down Compared to Last Year

A total of 451 properties sold across the Victoria Real Estate Board region in November 2025. This reflects:

• 18.1% fewer sales compared to November 2024 (551 sales)

• 26.9% fewer sales than October 2025

• Yet still higher activity than November 2022 and 2023, when sales dipped below 400

Sales varied by property type:

• Condo sales: 119 units sold (down 36% year-over-year)

• Single-family homes: 241 sold (down 8.4% year-over-year)

The Board notes this year-over-year comparison looks dramatic only because 2024 experienced an unusual late-year sales rally, which is not the norm for Victoria.

Inventory Eases, But Choices Remain Strong

At the end of November, there were 3,152 active listings, representing:

• 7.9% fewer listings than October 2025

• 11.1% more listings than November 2024

Buyers still have plenty of selection, but inventory is tightening slightly as we enter the winter season — a typical trend for Victoria.

Market Tone: Balanced, Patient, and Price-Sensitive

2025 VREB Chair Dirk VanderWal describes the November mood as “one of patience.”

• Buyers are taking their time.

• Sellers who price accurately and present their homes well are still seeing results.

• The market remains balanced, without the urgency of the early 2020s.

Different neighbourhoods and property types perform differently, so understanding where your home sits on the buyer–seller spectrum is key.

Benchmark Home Prices: Stable With Mild Movement

Single-Family Homes (Victoria Core)

• November 2024: $1,313,900

• November 2025: $1,276,700 (-2.8% year-over-year)

• Slight dip from October’s benchmark of $1,280,100

Condominiums (Victoria Core)

• November 2024: $542,100

• November 2025: $553,100 (+2% year-over-year)

• Up from October’s benchmark of $549,000

Condo values continue to hold steady, while single-family pricing shows mild softening — a trend aligned with broader affordability patterns.

What This Means for Buyers

• You have time and choice, especially compared to recent years.

• Well-priced homes still move quickly, particularly in the Core, Sidney, and Saanich East.

• If you're planning to buy in early 2026, now is a great moment to start conversations and get pre-approved before the January uptick.

What This Means for Sellers

• Presentation and pricing matter more than ever in a patient market.

• Buyers are thoughtful and selective — staging, photography, and market positioning are essential.

• A complimentary home evaluation can help you understand where your home sits in today’s balanced conditions.

I Can Help You Navigate This Market

Whether you’re planning to buy or sell in 2026, I’d love to walk you through what this market means for your specific plans.

➡️ Reach out anytime for a personalized market review or home evaluation 250-415-5656.

Jacqueline Ross
REALTOR® | Coldwell Banker Oceanside Real Estate
(250) 415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
www.YourVanIsleHome.com
Instagram | Facebook  
Get the newsletter!

Helping you find home — and community — here in Victoria, BC.

Buying your first home is one of the most exciting — and sometimes overwhelming — experiences in life.

When I bought my first home, I was thrilled, nervous, and completely consumed by the details. Like most first-time buyers, I had a budget, a dream list, and a lot of “what ifs.” Now, after years of helping clients through the same process, I can look back and say there are three big things I wish I’d known sooner.

If you’re thinking about taking the leap into homeownership in Victoria, these lessons might save you time, stress, and a few sleepless nights.

1️⃣ Neighbourhoods Matter More Than You Think

When I first started looking for a home, I was laser-focused on the house itself — layout, finishes, backyard size, and how close it was to work. What I didn’t fully appreciate was how much where you buy shapes how you live.

In Victoria, every neighbourhood has its own rhythm and character. Fernwood has that artsy, community feel; Cook Street Village offers endless walkability and cafés; Saanich is family-friendly with easy access to trails and parks; and Esquimalt is vibrant, coastal, and still surprisingly affordable.

Your neighbourhood becomes part of your everyday story — where you grab your morning coffee, walk your dog, or meet your neighbours at the market. The right fit isn’t just about the walls around you, it’s about the life you’ll build within and beyond them.

✨ Pro Tip: Before making an offer, spend a weekend exploring the area at different times of day. Grab lunch locally, chat with shop owners, and see if it feels like “you.”

💬 Looking for local insight? I love helping clients match their lifestyle to the right neighbourhood — not just the right home. Let’s chat about areas that may work well for you.

2️⃣ Hidden Costs Add Up

When I was budgeting for my first home, I focused on the down payment and mortgage — and completely underestimated the smaller costs that come with ownership.

Things like inspections, lawyer fees, insurance, moving costs, property transfer tax, and home maintenance all add up. None of these are deal-breakers, but they’re worth planning for so nothing catches you off guard.

When I work with first-time buyers now, one of the first things we do is map out a complete budget — not just for the purchase, but for those first few months of homeownership. That clarity changes everything.

💡 Pro Tip: Set aside 2–3% of your purchase price for closing and moving costs. It’s one of the simplest ways to stay ahead of surprises and enjoy a smoother transition.

📦 Need help building your first-home budget? I’ve created a “First Home Checklist” to guide you — download it free at YourVanIsleHome/buying.

3️⃣ You Don’t Have to Do It Alone

When you’re buying for the first time, it’s easy to feel like you need to figure everything out yourself — especially in a competitive market like Victoria. But here’s what I learned: having the right guidance makes all the difference.

A good REALTOR® doesn’t just unlock doors — they help you understand the process, ask the right questions, and make decisions that protect your long-term goals. They also connect you with trusted local professionals — mortgage brokers, inspectors, lawyers, and tradespeople — who become part of your support system.

One of my favourite parts of this job is walking my clients through the process step by step. Whether it’s celebrating a mortgage pre-approval, navigating an offer, or handing over the keys, every milestone matters — and it feels a lot less stressful when you have someone in your corner.

☕️ Buying your first home doesn’t have to feel overwhelming. Let’s sit down, map out your goals, and create a plan that fits your life and your budget.

Final Thoughts

Buying a home for the first time is so much more than a financial decision — it’s the start of a new chapter.

Looking back, I wish I’d focused less on rushing the process and more on learning from people who’d already walked the path. Now, I get to be that person for others — helping newcomers and first-time buyers find not just a property, but a place to belong.

If you’re ready to explore your first home in Victoria, I’d love to help you start strong.

💛 Ready to Begin?

✅ Download your free Home Buying Guide
✅ Explore the latest listings at YourVanIsleHome.com
✅ Or book your First-Home Roadmap Session — a friendly, no-pressure chat about your next steps.

Because finding your home in Victoria should feel exciting, empowering, and full of possibility.

—
Jacqueline Ross

REALTOR® | Coldwell Banker Oceanside Real Estate
(250) 415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
www.YourVanIsleHome.com
Instagram | Facebook  
Get the newsletter!

Helping you find home — and community — here in Victoria, BC.

As summer winds down, the Victoria real estate market followed a familiar seasonal trend—slowing slightly in August but maintaining overall stability. A total of 525 properties sold across the region, down 3.7% compared to August 2024 and 22.8% fewer than July 2025.

Condominium sales dipped by 16% year-over-year, with 152 units sold, while single-family homes saw a modest increase of 6.3%, with 268 sales.

The number of active listings at the end of August sat at 3,600, down slightly from July but up 12.8% compared to the same time last year. This boost in available inventory gives buyers more choice than they’ve had in years.

Price trends were relatively steady:

• Single-family home benchmark (Victoria Core): $1,308,100, up 1.6% year-over-year but down a bit from July.

• Condominium benchmark (Victoria Core): $551,300, down 1.4% year-over-year and from July’s value.

What This Means for Buyers

For buyers, this is a more balanced and less pressurized market than what we saw several years ago. With more inventory and stable interest rates, you have time to carefully evaluate homes, negotiate, and make decisions without the intense bidding wars of the past. Fall could bring fresh listings as sellers who prepared over summer enter the market, giving you new opportunities to explore.

What This Means for Sellers

If you’re selling, pricing strategically is key. While demand remains steady, buyers have more options and more time to compare. Homes that are well-prepared and marketed properly are still moving, but expectations around timelines should be realistic. With fall historically being a busier season than late summer, now is an excellent time to list if you’ve been waiting.

The Bottom Line

Victoria’s market is steady, balanced, and entering a season that traditionally sees more activity. Whether you’re considering buying or selling this fall, the conditions are favourable for making thoughtful, well-planned moves.

✨ Thinking about making a move this fall? Let’s connect—I’ll walk you through the numbers, help you understand where opportunities lie, and guide you toward your next home or sale.

👉 Start your fall home search or request a market evaluation here.

Jacqueline Ross, REALTOR® 
Coldwell Banker Oceanside
(250) 415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
Instagram | Facebook  
Get the newsletter!

The Bank of Canada may have held its key interest rate steady at 2.75% for the third consecutive time, but don’t let that lull you into a false sense of financial security—especially if you're carrying high-interest debt.

Many Canadians are feeling the pressure of high borrowing costs, and one trend that continues to grow? More people are carrying credit card balances longer, often maxing them out. This can silently sabotage your chances of getting approved for your next mortgage—even if you’re making all your payments on time.

Why Your Credit Card Balance Matters to Lenders

Mortgage lenders aren’t just checking whether you pay your bills—they’re looking at how much credit you're using. Known as “credit utilization,” this is a major factor in your credit score.

If your credit card balance is regularly over 50% of your limit, your score could take a serious hit—even if you’ve never missed a payment. Why? Because credit bureaus take a snapshot of your balance at a moment in time. If it’s high on that day, it might look like you’re stretched thin financially, which can trigger red flags for lenders.

According to credit expert Richard Moxley, one maxed-out credit card can drop your score by 30 points or more, enough to affect your mortgage rate or even result in a decline.

What You Can Do if You’re a Homeowner

If you’re already a homeowner in Victoria and you’ve built up some equity, there may be a smart path forward: refinancing your mortgage to consolidate high-interest debt.

This could:

• Lower your monthly payments

• Improve your cash flow

• Help boost your credit score within a few months

Debt consolidation through refinancing isn’t for everyone, but in the right situation, it can be a game-changer—especially in a market where borrowing conditions are tightening.

Want to explore your options or get a credit check-up? Connect with our trusted mortgage broker at The Mortgage Group:

📞 Contact: Paul Macara – Mortgage Professional
📧 paul@macaramortgages.com | 📱 (250) 857-4741

What the Bank of Canada Rate Hold Means for Buyers & Sellers in Victoria, BC

In its July 30 announcement, the Bank of Canada once again held rates at 2.75%, citing ongoing trade tensions with the U.S., weaker GDP, and inflation driven by high shelter costs (especially rent).

Here’s what this means for you:

For Buyers:

• Good news: The pause in rate hikes gives buyers a window of opportunity to lock in better rates than earlier this year.

• But caution: High credit card balances could still block approvals or result in higher mortgage rates—even if the Bank hasn’t raised theirs.

If you’re thinking about buying, now’s the time to get your finances in check, review your credit utilization, and consider getting pre-approved.

For Sellers:

• Buyer confidence may return, especially among those who’ve been waiting for rates to settle.

• If you’re planning to list soon, this could be the start of more activity—but buyers will remain cautious, especially in the face of inflation and uncertain economic forecasts.

Final Thoughts: Stability Doesn’t Mean Simplicity

While a steady interest rate can be reassuring, your personal finances—including how you manage credit—can have a much bigger impact on your mortgage options.

Whether you're looking to buy, sell, refinance, or consolidate, having a plan and understanding the broader economic context can help you make your next move with confidence.

Need help navigating your next steps? Reach out to discuss a plan tailored to you.

Jacqueline Ross, REALTOR® 
Coldwell Banker Oceanside
(250) 415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
Instagram | Facebook  
Get the newsletter!