Sales activity picked up in a big way this August

August closed with 591 properties sold across Greater Victoria, up 12.6% compared to August of last year. Single family homes led the charge, up 15.3% year over year with 309 sold, while condo sales climbed just as strongly, up 15.1% with 175 units sold. Townhome sales were the one softer spot, down 4.5% with 63 sold.

There were 3,662 active listings at month end, down 4.8% from July but up 1.7% from this time last year, giving buyers real choice heading into fall.

Home prices are holding steady, with some variation by area
The benchmark price for a single family home in the Victoria Core sits at $1,301,800, down 1.2% from last year. The Westshore single family benchmark is $1,031,900, up 0.5% year over year, one of the steadiest corners of the market right now. The Peninsula benchmark is $1,266,000, down 1.9% from last year.

Condos found some footing this month.
The Core condo benchmark is $553,600, up 0.9% from August 2025, and the Peninsula condo benchmark climbed to $630,300, up 3.3% year over year, the strongest gain we're tracking anywhere. The Westshore condo benchmark eased to $485,400, down 3.8% year over year.

Townhomes stayed steady overall, with the Core benchmark at $856,300, up 1.7% year over year. Even with fewer townhomes changing hands, the ones that sold held their value well.

Buyers are engaged and moving with confidence
The sales to active listings ratio sits comfortably around 20%, right in the balanced range. What's standing out in my conversations lately isn't hesitation, it's buyers who've done their homework and are ready to act when the right home comes along.

Inflation and mortgage rates
The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate steady at 2.25% through August, unchanged since October of last year. Most economists expect mortgage rates to remain relatively stable through the rest of 2026. The next rate announcement is September 2.

Population growth remains slow
BC's population growth has continued to slow, and federal policy changes reducing non-permanent residents continue to weigh on demand in the condo and rental markets, even as permanent immigration holds relatively strong.

Financial pressures are real
Mortgage renewals continue to land at rates well above what many homeowners locked in a few years ago, and delinquencies in BC remain above year ago levels. For homeowners approaching a renewal, getting ahead of your options continues to matter.

Looking ahead
The rest of 2026 continues to shape up as a balanced market with strong inventory and buyer choice, steady prices overall, and mortgage rates likely to hold near current levels through year end. Well priced, well prepared sellers, particularly of single family homes and townhomes, are still achieving strong results.

Thinking about making a move?
Every neighbourhood and property type is performing differently in today's market. Whether you are buying, selling, downsizing, or curious about what your home is worth right now, I'm happy to walk you through what this market means for your unique situation.

Jacqueline Ross, REALTOR®
Your Van Isle Home
call/text: 250-415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
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What January’s numbers, inventory levels, and interest rates mean for buyers and sellers.

As we move further into early 2026, the Victoria real estate market continues to settle into a more balanced and predictable rhythm after several years of uncertainty. With January sales now reported and interest rates holding steady, we’re seeing conditions that feel calmer, more intentional, and easier to navigate for both buyers and sellers.

The Economic Backdrop

On January 18, the Bank of Canada announced it would hold its overnight rate steady. This reflects an economy that is gradually cooling without showing signs of major stress. Inflation has continued to ease, employment remains relatively strong, and recent GDP numbers have been inconsistent month to month.

Most major banks expect the overnight rate to remain near 2.25% through much of 2026. While rates are lower than they were a year ago, the bigger shift is stability. That predictability is helping buyers plan more confidently and giving sellers greater clarity around demand.

Greater Victoria Market – January 2026

According to the Victoria Real Estate Board, 339 properties sold across the region in January. This was down from January 2025 and slightly below December, following typical seasonal patterns.

Condominium sales declined year over year, with 109 units sold.
Single family home sales also dipped compared to last January, with 153 homes sold.

Inventory remains the standout story. At the end of January, there were 2,624 active listings on the MLS®, up from both December and the same time last year. This increase in supply is easing upward pressure on pricing and giving buyers more choice than they’ve had in several years.

Board Chair Fergus Kyne noted that the market is currently sitting between balanced and buyer-leaning conditions. While one month doesn’t establish a long-term trend, January offered more selection for buyers and clearer expectations for sellers.

Pricing Trends in Victoria

Benchmark prices continue to adjust modestly. The MLS® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core was down approximately 2.5% compared to January last year, though prices did rise slightly from December. 

Condominium benchmark values were down about 1.5% year over year and softened from December levels.

Overall, this reflects a market that is adjusting rather than correcting, with values supported by long-term demand and improved affordability compared to recent years.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

For buyers, today’s market offers more choice, less competition, and stable borrowing conditions — creating space to make thoughtful decisions instead of rushed ones. Local mortgage professional Paul Macara of Macara Mortgages notes that uncertainty doesn’t automatically mean risk. When confidence is lower, buyers often gain more time to negotiate and focus on fit: the right home, the right payment, and the right mortgage structure.

“When the headlines feel noisy, the goal is simple: make sure your mortgage plan still fits your life.”
— Paul Macara, Mortgage Professional, The Mortgage Group

If you’d like an introduction to the team at The Mortgage Group, I’m always happy to connect you so you can explore your options with clarity and confidence.

For sellers, this is a market that rewards preparation, strong presentation, and realistic pricing. Buyers are moving more intentionally, and understanding how your specific neighbourhood is performing matters more than ever.

Whether you’re buying, selling, or reviewing your mortgage options, this market is less about reacting to headlines and more about making decisions that align with your longer-term plans. 

Looking Ahead to 2026

As the year continues, earlier interest rate cuts are beginning to bring some buyers back into the market, particularly those who paused during periods of uncertainty. At the same time, higher inventory levels and affordability considerations are keeping price growth in check.

Most experts are forecasting steady, measured improvement rather than a rapid rebound — a healthier pace for long-term market stability.

Whether you’re planning to buy or sell in 2026, I’d love to walk you through what this market means for your specific plans. Reach out to me at anytime 250-415-5656.

Jacqueline Ross
REALTOR® | Coldwell Banker Oceanside Real Estate
📞 (250) 415-5656
✉️ jac@yourvanislehome.com
🌐 www.YourVanIsleHome.com
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Helping you find home — and community — here in Victoria, BC.

As we move along in December, the Victoria real estate market shows a clear shift in pace. Sales slowed in November, inventory remained healthy, and the overall tone of the market leaned toward patience — offering more breathing room for buyers and a steady, balanced environment for sellers.

Here’s what you need to know.

Home Sales Down Compared to Last Year

A total of 451 properties sold across the Victoria Real Estate Board region in November 2025. This reflects:

• 18.1% fewer sales compared to November 2024 (551 sales)

• 26.9% fewer sales than October 2025

• Yet still higher activity than November 2022 and 2023, when sales dipped below 400

Sales varied by property type:

• Condo sales: 119 units sold (down 36% year-over-year)

• Single-family homes: 241 sold (down 8.4% year-over-year)

The Board notes this year-over-year comparison looks dramatic only because 2024 experienced an unusual late-year sales rally, which is not the norm for Victoria.

Inventory Eases, But Choices Remain Strong

At the end of November, there were 3,152 active listings, representing:

• 7.9% fewer listings than October 2025

• 11.1% more listings than November 2024

Buyers still have plenty of selection, but inventory is tightening slightly as we enter the winter season — a typical trend for Victoria.

Market Tone: Balanced, Patient, and Price-Sensitive

2025 VREB Chair Dirk VanderWal describes the November mood as “one of patience.”

• Buyers are taking their time.

• Sellers who price accurately and present their homes well are still seeing results.

• The market remains balanced, without the urgency of the early 2020s.

Different neighbourhoods and property types perform differently, so understanding where your home sits on the buyer–seller spectrum is key.

Benchmark Home Prices: Stable With Mild Movement

Single-Family Homes (Victoria Core)

• November 2024: $1,313,900

• November 2025: $1,276,700 (-2.8% year-over-year)

• Slight dip from October’s benchmark of $1,280,100

Condominiums (Victoria Core)

• November 2024: $542,100

• November 2025: $553,100 (+2% year-over-year)

• Up from October’s benchmark of $549,000

Condo values continue to hold steady, while single-family pricing shows mild softening — a trend aligned with broader affordability patterns.

What This Means for Buyers

• You have time and choice, especially compared to recent years.

• Well-priced homes still move quickly, particularly in the Core, Sidney, and Saanich East.

• If you're planning to buy in early 2026, now is a great moment to start conversations and get pre-approved before the January uptick.

What This Means for Sellers

• Presentation and pricing matter more than ever in a patient market.

• Buyers are thoughtful and selective — staging, photography, and market positioning are essential.

• A complimentary home evaluation can help you understand where your home sits in today’s balanced conditions.

I Can Help You Navigate This Market

Whether you’re planning to buy or sell in 2026, I’d love to walk you through what this market means for your specific plans.

➡️ Reach out anytime for a personalized market review or home evaluation 250-415-5656.

Jacqueline Ross
REALTOR® | Coldwell Banker Oceanside Real Estate
(250) 415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
www.YourVanIsleHome.com
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Get the newsletter!

Helping you find home — and community — here in Victoria, BC.