May in Victoria felt like the moment people stopped holding their breath. I noticed it when a client mentioned she had spent a whole afternoon visiting three different properties and never once felt rushed. That kind of ease has not been part of the story here for a while. It tells me something real about where we are right now.

Here is what the data is showing, and more importantly, what I think it means for people who are thinking about their next move.

What the Numbers Say

A total of 713 properties sold across the Victoria Real Estate Board region in May 2026. That is 5.9% fewer than May 2025, but 11% more than April 2026, which means momentum is building even if the year-over-year comparison looks soft. Single family home sales came in at 385, down 4 per cent from last May. Condo sales were 188, down 15% from the same time last year. Townhomes were a quieter story, with 98 sales and an 9% increase over last year.

The number that matters most right now is active listings. There were 4,029 properties for sale at the end of May, up 8.6% from April and 8.4% higher than May 2025. That is the most inventory this market has seen in eleven years. If you have been waiting for more options, this is the environment you were waiting for.

What Prices Are Doing

The MLS Home Price Index benchmark for a single family home in the Victoria Core sits at $1,339,000, essentially flat compared to last May and barely changed from April. Condo benchmarks in the Core are at $551,400, down 1.9 per cent from last year. On the Saanich Peninsula, single family benchmarks are up 4% year over year at $1,292,000, which tells a different story than the rest of the region. The Westshore single family benchmark sits at $1,028,100, down almost 3% from last May.

The sales to active listings ratio for the region is sitting at roughly 17%, which puts us right at the edge of balanced market territory. Prices are not under dramatic pressure in either direction, but sellers cannot assume the market will do their pricing work for them anymore.

What This Means If You Are Buying

This is one of the better environments for buyers that we have seen in several years. More inventory means more time to think, more properties to compare, and more room to negotiate. The days of writing offers the same afternoon you viewed a home are largely behind us for now. If you have been sitting on the sidelines waiting for conditions to shift in your favour, this is worth paying attention to. The Peninsula in particular is worth a look if single family homes are your target, since values there have held and even grown modestly while other areas have softened.

What This Means If You Are Selling

Realistic pricing is the whole conversation right now. With more competition on the market and buyers taking their time, homes that are priced thoughtfully for their neighbourhood and condition are still selling. Homes that are not are sitting. The average days on market across the region varies significantly by area, and understanding where your property fits within its specific submarket matters more than broad regional trends. If you are thinking about listing this summer, the window before the seasonal slowdown is still open, but it will not be open indefinitely.

A Note for Anyone Thinking About Downsizing

May's numbers are quietly encouraging for people in the middle of this decision. More inventory means more choices at the other end of the move, whether that is a strata townhome, a ground floor condo, or a smaller detached home in a neighbourhood you have always liked but never quite lived in. If you have been wondering whether now is the right time to find out what your current home is worth and what your next chapter might look like, I am genuinely happy to have that conversation with you. No pressure, no agenda. Just two people thinking it through together.

If you are wondering what May's numbers mean for your specific situation, whether you are thinking about selling, buying, or just starting to explore your options, I am happy to talk it through. Reply to this email, or book a call here. No agenda, just a conversation.

Jacqueline Ross, REALTOR®
Your Van Isle Home
call/text: 250-415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
Instagram | Facebook

Helping you find home, and community, here in Victoria, BC.

April is one of those turning-point months in Victoria real estate. The energy shifts—more homes come to market, more buyers start looking seriously, and decisions that have been sitting quietly since winter begin to move forward.

If you’re wondering whether now is a good time to make a move (or even just thinking about it), here’s what I’m seeing on the ground right now.

More Listings, More Choice

We’re finally seeing inventory pick up across Greater Victoria, including Sidney, the Saanich Peninsula, and the WestShore.

For buyers, this means more options—and a bit of breathing room compared to the tighter conditions earlier this year.

But more choice doesn’t mean endless opportunity. The best homes are still standing out and attracting attention quickly.

Buyers Are More Thoughtful—But Still Acting

Buyers right now are taking a bit more time. They’re comparing options, revisiting homes, and making more considered decisions.

That said, when the right home comes along—well-priced, well-presented, and in a good location—they’re still stepping forward.

This is a more balanced market, but not a slow one.

Presentation Matters More Than Ever

With more listings to choose from, buyers are naturally comparing.

Homes that show well—clean, bright, and thoughtfully prepared—are the ones getting the strongest response.

This is especially important for downsizers or sellers who want to protect their value in a more competitive environment.

There’s Quiet Opportunity in Negotiation

One of the biggest shifts right now is happening behind the scenes.

We’re seeing more room for:

• Thoughtful offers

• Conditions that protect buyers

• Conversations that weren’t possible in more competitive markets

This doesn’t mean lowballing—it means strategy matters more than speed.

What This Means for You

For buyers:
You have more options right now—and the ability to make a thoughtful decision. But when the right home comes up, it’s still important to act with confidence.

For sellers:
Preparation and pricing strategy are key. The right approach can still generate strong interest and results.

Final Thoughts

Spring is often when plans start to take shape—even if the move itself happens later. If you’re thinking about downsizing, relocating, or making a change this year, this is a great time to start the conversation and understand your options.

👉 Reach out anytime for a conversation
👉 Or request your home value to see where you stand in today’s market

Jacqueline Ross, REALTOR®
Your Van Isle Home
250-415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
Instagram | Facebook

A More Balanced Spring Market Takes Shape

As we move into spring, the Greater Victoria real estate market is following a familiar seasonal pattern—activity is building, inventory is rising, and conditions are becoming more balanced.

A total of 579 properties sold in March 2026, which is 24.5% higher than February, but 5.5% lower than March 2025. This tells us the market is active, but without the urgency and pressure we saw in previous years.

Breaking it down further:

• 285 single-family homes sold (down 2.4% year-over-year)

• 164 condominiums sold (down 18.8% year-over-year)

At the same time, inventory continues to expand.

There were 3,261 active listings at the end of March, up 12.3% from February and 7.9% higher than March 2025—giving buyers more choice and helping create more balanced conditions overall.

Home Prices: Holding Steady with Subtle Shifts

Pricing in Victoria remains relatively stable, with small year-over-year adjustments and slight month-over-month gains.

• The benchmark price for a single-family home in the Victoria Core is now $1,330,200, down 1.1% year-over-year, but up from February

• The benchmark price for a condominium is $553,800, down 0.8% year-over-year, also increasing from the previous month

This tells us we’re not in a declining market—we’re in a stabilizing one.

The Economic Backdrop: Why This Matters

The real estate market doesn’t operate in a vacuum—and right now, the broader economy is playing a major role.

In mid-March, the Bank of Canada held its overnight rate steady, signaling a cautious approach as inflation continues to cool.

What this means:

• Borrowing costs are stable for now

• Buyers are gaining confidence to re-enter the market

• Sellers are seeing more serious, qualified buyers

At the same time, Canada is experiencing one of the largest mortgage renewal waves in decades.

Many homeowners are now:

• Renewing into higher rates

• Reassessing monthly affordability

• Exploring refinancing options

• Considering downsizing or lifestyle changes

What This Means If You’re Buying

This is one of the most balanced markets we’ve seen in recent years.

Buyers now have:

• More inventory and selection

• More time to evaluate properties

• Greater ability to include conditions

• Less pressure to compete

That said, desirable and well-priced homes are still moving quickly.

The opportunity right now:
Make informed, thoughtful decisions—without the pressure of a peak market.

What This Means If You’re Selling

The market is active—but buyers are more selective.

Today’s buyers are:

• Price-conscious

• Well-informed

• Less willing to overlook issues

Homes that are:

• Well-prepared

• Strategically priced

• Clearly positioned

…are still selling successfully.

The key right now:
Pricing and presentation matter more than ever.

What This Means If You’re Renewing or Refinancing

This is one of the biggest shifts happening in the market right now.

If you’re approaching a mortgage renewal, you may be facing higher rates than your previous term.

This is a good time to explore:

• Refinancing strategies

• Adjusting amortization

• Accessing equity

• Downsizing to reduce monthly costs

Having a plan early can make a significant difference.

A Note for Downsizers

This current market creates a unique opportunity for downsizers.

With more inventory available and less competition, you have:

• More choice when it comes to condos and townhomes

• More time to explore options

• Greater ability to coordinate your sale and purchase

At the same time, well-maintained homes in established neighbourhoods continue to attract strong interest.

For many, this is an ideal moment to:

• Simplify your home and reduce maintenance

• Unlock equity

• Move closer to amenities, family, or community

The Bottom Line

We’re in a more stable, opportunity-driven market—not a chaotic one.

That’s good news.

It means:

• Buyers can plan more carefully

• Sellers can still achieve strong results—with the right strategy

• Homeowners have options, even in a shifting rate environment

Thinking About Your Next Step?

Whether you're buying, selling, or planning ahead for a renewal, I’m here to help you navigate your next move with clarity and confidence.

👉 Reach out anytime for a conversation
👉 Or request your home value to see where you stand in today’s market

Jacqueline Ross, REALTOR®
Your Van Isle Home
(250) 415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
Instagram | Facebook

Helping you find home — and community — here in Victoria, BC.

Sales Rebound, Inventory Grows & Balanced Conditions Firmly Take Hold

Through February, both the broader Canadian economy and the Greater Victoria housing market continued settling into a more stable and predictable rhythm after several years of rapid change.

We are no longer in a volatility-driven market.
We are in a strategy-driven one.

The Economy at a Glance

On January 28, the Bank of Canada held its key overnight rate at 2.25%, reinforcing stability in borrowing costs.

Nationally, economic growth has softened. GDP contracted in the final quarter of 2025 — the slowest annual growth since 2020 — with trade uncertainty and slowing manufacturing output contributing to weaker momentum.

The labour market remains mixed. While employment has shown resilience in some sectors, elevated unemployment levels and cautious hiring have tempered consumer confidence.

The key takeaway for homeowners and buyers alike is this: interest rates are steady and economic signals are clearer. Stability — even modest stability — reduces uncertainty and allows households to plan.

Greater Victoria Market – February 2026

February marked a noticeable shift locally.

A total of 465 properties sold across the Victoria Real Estate Board region.

That represents:
• 37.2% more sales than January 2026
• 11.9% fewer sales than February 2025

The year-over-year decline reflects normalization from stronger 2025 activity. The significant month-over-month increase signals spring momentum building.

Property Type Breakdown

Single Family Homes
206 sold
↓ 12% compared to February 2025

Condominiums
154 sold
↓ 19.8% compared to February 2025

Townhomes
66 sold
↑ 11.9% compared to February 2025

Townhomes were the only segment to see year-over-year growth, suggesting continued demand for mid-range housing options.

Inventory: The Defining Story

At the end of February, there were 2,903 active listings on the Victoria Real Estate Board MLS®.

That is:
• Up 10.6% from January 2026
• Up 10.4% from February 2025 (2,630 listings last year)

This rising inventory is what has moved our market firmly into balanced territory.

A balanced market means:
• Buyers have choice
• Sellers face competition
• Pricing matters more than urgency

We are no longer in scarcity conditions. But we are also not in a buyer’s market oversupply environment.

Prices in the Victoria Core

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) benchmark values tell a very steady story.

Single Family Home Benchmark
February 2025: $1,319,100
February 2026: $1,307,400
↓ 0.9% year over year
↑ From January’s $1,265,500

Condominium Benchmark
February 2025: $549,600
February 2026: $545,600
↓ 0.7% year over year
↑ From January’s $537,800

Townhome benchmark (Victoria Core): $842,800

The key detail: both single-family and condo benchmarks increased from January levels.

That signals stabilization — not decline.

Prices are not accelerating rapidly.
They are adjusting gradually and holding relatively steady.

What This Means for Buyers

Buyers are operating in a healthier environment than we’ve seen in years.

With nearly 3,000 listings available, there is more time to compare properties and negotiate thoughtfully.

Interest rates are stable. Inventory is elevated. Competition is measured.

However, well-priced homes in desirable neighbourhoods still attract attention quickly. Preparation and clarity remain advantages.

Balanced does not mean slow — it means strategic.

What This Means for Sellers

Demand is present — but it is selective.

The 37% jump in sales from January shows buyers are active as we approach spring. But with more inventory available, pricing and presentation are critical.

Testing the market is risky.
Entering strategically is effective.

Balanced conditions reward sellers who understand positioning.

Mortgage Renewals & Refinancing

Even if you are not planning to move, this market matters — especially if you have a mortgage renewal approaching.

Many homeowners who secured ultra-low fixed rates several years ago are now renewing at higher rates. While the Bank of Canada has held its key rate steady, payments may increase for some households at renewal.

Reviewing your renewal strategy early can provide flexibility and clarity.

If helpful, I’m happy to connect you with a trusted mortgage professional to explore renewal options, refinancing strategies, or simply review your numbers before your term comes up.

Looking Ahead to Spring 2026

February’s activity suggests we are entering spring with:

• Rising inventory
• Stabilizing prices
• Renewed month-over-month sales momentum
• Balanced market conditions

We are not seeing rapid appreciation.
We are not seeing distress.

We are seeing normalization.

For move-up buyers, downsizers, and long-term planners, balanced markets often create some of the best opportunities — because both sides of the transaction operate under similar conditions.

If you’d like a deeper breakdown of what this means specifically for your neighbourhood — Sidney, the Peninsula, Westshore, Victoria Core — I’m always happy to provide a personalized update.

If you’re considering a move — whether upsizing, downsizing, or relocating within Greater Victoria — planning early will create the strongest outcome.

Jacqueline Ross, REALTOR®
Your Van Isle Home
(250) 415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
Instagram | Facebook

Helping you find home — and community — here in Victoria, BC.

As 2025 wrapped up, the Victoria real estate market closed the year with steady fundamentals, balanced pricing, and inventory levels that continue to shape buyer and seller behaviour heading into 2026.

According to the Victoria Real Estate Board market report released January 2, 2026, a total of 367 properties sold in December, down 12.8% from December 2024 and 18.6% fewer than November 2025. As expected for the holiday season, activity slowed, particularly in the condominium segment.

December 2025 Sales Breakdown

Condominium sales declined 21.5% year over year, with 106 units sold. Single family home sales were more stable, decreasing just 2.6% from December 2024, with 186 homes sold. While December activity softened, it followed a relatively consistent year overall.

2025 in Review

Across the full year, 6,918 properties sold in 2025, representing a modest 0.36% increase compared to 2024. This reinforces what many buyers and sellers experienced firsthand: a market that remained active, but far more balanced than in previous peak years.

Victoria Real Estate Board Chair Fergus Kyne noted that inventory played a key role throughout 2025, with the second-highest number of new listings on record entering the market. Increased choice allowed buyers more time and flexibility, while sellers benefited from clearer pricing expectations and more predictable timelines.

Inventory Levels: What They Tell Us

At the end of December, 2,544 active listings were available across the region. While that represented a 19.3% drop from November (a typical seasonal decline), it was still 11.1% higher than December 2024. This higher year-over-year inventory continues to support a more measured, informed market for both sides.

Pricing Trends Across Property Types

Benchmark prices showed some divergence depending on location and housing type:

• The Victoria Core single family home benchmark declined 4.7% year over year to $1,255,000, and was down 1.7% from November.
• Condominium benchmark values increased slightly year over year to $549,900, though they dipped 0.6% from November.

Regionally, single family home values softened in the Victoria Core, while parts of the Westshore saw modest gains. Condo prices remained relatively flat across most areas.

What This Means If You’re Buying Right Now

For buyers, today’s market offers more choice, less urgency, and better negotiating conditions than we’ve seen in years. Higher inventory levels mean buyers can take time to compare options, assess value, and make decisions that align with long-term goals rather than short-term pressure. Winter also tends to bring more motivated sellers, which can create opportunities for well-prepared buyers.

What This Means If You’re Selling Right Now

For sellers, success in this market depends on pricing accuracy, presentation, and strategy. Buyers are paying close attention to value and condition, and well-presented homes that are priced appropriately continue to perform well. Understanding micro-market trends by neighbourhood and property type is key, especially as we move toward the spring market.

Looking Ahead to 2026

Inventory levels will continue to play a major role in shaping market conditions this year. Whether you’re planning to buy, sell, or downsize, having a clear understanding of local pricing trends and buyer behaviour will help you move forward with confidence.

Whether you’re planning to buy or sell in 2026, I’d love to walk you through what this market means for your specific plans. Reach out to me at anytime 250-415-5656.

Jacqueline Ross
REALTOR® | Coldwell Banker Oceanside Real Estate
(250) 415-5656
jac@yourvanislehome.com
www.YourVanIsleHome.com
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Helping you find home — and community — here in Victoria, BC.